9 Years Ago, Warren Buffett Predicted This Investment Would Pay Off: Here’s How It’s Doing

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By Ronald Tech

Key Points

  • General Motors stock is trading at more than twice what Warren Buffett paid for it in 2017.

  • The automaker is coming off a difficult year financially, as it took a multibillion-dollar write-down on its slowing EV business.

  • GM recently raised its dividend and authorized a large share buyback.

  • 10 stocks we like better than General Motors ›

In the second quarter of 2017, Warren Buffett, then the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRKB), made a somewhat contrarian bet, having the conglomerate buy 10 million shares of General Motors (NYSE: GM) at an average closing price of $33.95. At the time, that move increased Berkshire’s stake in the automaker by 20%.

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Buffett liquidated his position in the company in 2023, when its shares were trading at $35.59. That wasn’t a big score, relatively speaking. But what if Berkshire Hathaway had held onto those shares?

Today, GM is trading at more than $80 a share, and if you had bought the stock in 2017 and reinvested its dividends, your total return would be 159.4%. Now that’s a payday.

An automobile assembly line.

Image source: Getty Images.

How is GM doing now, though?

General Motors reported revenue of $185 billion in 2025, down 1.3%. Its earnings per share (EPS) declined even further, by 48.7%, to $3.24. Those numbers, though, were somewhat distorted by a fourth-quarter $7.2 billion write-down relating to the slowdown in its electric vehicle (EV) business. Most of those costs are the result of GM ending or restructuring contracts with suppliers in light of the fact that its EV sales are no longer growing at the rate it expected them to.

However, the company remains a solid dividend stock, despite those declines. In conjunction with its Q4 earnings report, it raised its quarterly dividend payout by 20% to $0.18 per share, and announced a $6 billion stock repurchase authorization.

The impacts of President Donald Trump’s tariffs, as well as a slowdown in EV sales after his Big Beautiful Bill ended the tax break that American buyers had enjoyed on those vehicles, have forced the automaker to adjust. However, it says it expects 2026 EPS of between $11 and $13, a huge jump from the $3.27 it booked in 2025, and a fairly solid improvement from its adjusted EPS of $10.60. It’s also guiding for adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $13 million to $15 billion, compared to $12.7 billion in 2025.

Because the Trump administration rolled back auto emissions standards, carmakers can focus on higher-margin gas-powered vehicles again and reduce their financial exposure to EVs, which explains some of GM’s optimism.

See also  <!DOCTYPE html><html lang="en"><head> <meta charset="UTF-8"> <meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0"> <title>Defensive Dividend Stocks Offering Stability Amid Pre-Election Volatility</title></head><body><h2>Exploring Zoetis - A Defensive Dividend Stock</h2><p>As the U.S. presidential election fast approaches, investor anxieties are reaching a fever pitch like an orchestra building up to a crescendo. In such times of market tumult, seeking refuge in defensive dividend stocks can be akin to finding a sturdy lifeboat in a stormy sea.</p><h2>The Resilient Rise of Zoetis</h2><p>Among the entities that stand out in this defensive arena is Zoetis Inc., a stalwart player in the realm of animal health. With a legacy spanning over seven decades, Zoetis has become a beacon of stability in a sea of market fickleness, akin to a lighthouse guiding ships through rough waters.</p><h3>A Fortified Fortress</h3><p>Despite a YTD dip of 4%, Zoetis has clung tenaciously to its pillars of stability amidst the tumultuous market winds. The company's market cap looms large at around $85.1 billion, offering an anchor of steadfastness when the market tides turn rough.</p><h3>A Flourishing Haven</h3><p>Zoetis' five-year streak of consecutive dividend increases speaks volumes about its resilience. The company sails ahead, paying out a quarterly dividend of $0.432 per share with an annualized dividend of $1.73 per share.</p><h2>Visionary Leadership and Financial Prowess</h2><p>In August, Zoetis made waves as it surpassed all expectations with its second-quarter earnings. Like an eagle soaring high above the clouds, the company posted a revenue of $2.4 billion, signaling an 8% rise from the previous year—a testament to its unyielding spirit in the face of adversity.</p><h3>The Bright Horizon</h3><p>Guided by CEO Kristin Peck's steady hand, Zoetis raised its fiscal 2024 guidance with the confidence of a sure-footed mountaineer conquering new heights. The company anticipates revenue growth between $9.10 billion and $9.25 billion, paving the way for a brighter future.</p><h2>The Astounding Acclaim and Future Projections</h2><p>With a resounding consensus of "Strong Buy" ratings from analysts, Zoetis stands as a paragon of excellence in the eyes of the market. The price targets put forth a promising future, with a potential upside of 15.7% from current levels.</p><h2>Diving into Kenvue - A Shield Against Turbulence</h2><p>Turning our gaze to another bastion of stability, Kenvue Inc. emerges as a formidable contender in the landscape of consumer health, a shield repelling the arrows of uncertain market forces.</p><h3>The Sturdy Bulwark</h3><p>With a rich heritage dating back over a century, Kenvue boasts a diversified portfolio of trusted brands, standing strong with a market cap of $43.1 billion. The stock has surged 23% in the past three months, outshining broader market indices like a gleaming beacon in the night sky.</p><h3>Ensuring Growth and Stability</h3><p>Kenvue's recent dividend increase underscores its unwavering commitment to shareholders, offering $0.205 per share and a hearty 3.64% yield. This move aligns with the company's endeavor to drive sustainable growth and provide a steady hand amid market turmoil.</p></body></html><!DOCTYPE html><html lang="en"><head> <meta charset="UTF-8"> <meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0"> <title>Financial News: Unlocking the Performance of Kenvue and American Water Works</title></head><body> Unlocking the Performance of Kenvue and American Water Works

Less appealing as an income stock

Are the risks of buying GM today worth it for its dividend? Not really, if you look at the numbers. The yield is a low 0.9% at the current share price, though it’s relatively safe given the company’s payout ratio of 37%. However, you don’t have to look very far to see that GM slashed its dividend by 76.3% in 2022 amid a period of weaker sales due to the pandemic. The automotive sector is notoriously cyclical. Automakers have a lot of fixed costs, so when sales slump, it isn’t easy for them to cut costs to maintain their margins.

The majority of the company’s write-offs related to its EV business are likely in the rearview mirror, which is why it could soon return to greater profitability. The difficulty I see, though, is that its annual revenues have only grown by a total of 24% over the past decade, while its annual EPS has fallen by more than 45%.

The company’s shares may be inexpensive, though, compared to its longtime Detroit competitors. GM is trading at around 6.2 times expected forward earnings, marginally less than Chrysler parent Stellantis‘ (NYSE: STLA). 6.5 and comfortably below Ford Motor Company‘s (NYSE: F) 8.7.

Should you buy stock in General Motors right now?

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James Halley has positions in Ford Motor Company. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool recommends General Motors and Stellantis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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