Exploring Tesla’s Pre-Q3 Earnings

With Tesla set to release its third-quarter 2024 results after the market closes on Wednesday, investors are at a crossroads pondering whether to seize the opportunity or await the outcome. The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects earnings of 58 cents per share and revenues of $25.6 billion for the upcoming quarter.

Although the estimated earnings show a slight improvement over the past week, they anticipate a 12.12% decline year-over-year. In contrast, revenue projections suggest a promising 9.5% increase from the previous year.

Forecasting Tesla’s Q3 Performance

Tesla’s recent production figures reveal the manufacturing of 469,796 vehicles in the third quarter, including a significant number of Model 3 and Y units. While deliveries slightly missed estimates, the company witnessed a year-over-year increase for the first time in 2024, indicating a positive trend.

The automotive revenues for this quarter are expected to reach $22.2 billion, with the company resorting to price cuts and incentives to bolster demand. These tactics likely fueled sales growth, albeit potentially impacting margins. The forecasted gross margin for Tesla’s automotive segment stands at 18.3%, slightly lower than the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

On the energy front, Tesla’s energy generation and storage business demonstrate a bright outlook, with revenues projected to grow by 39%, supported by robust demand for products like Megapack and Powerwall.

Considerations for Investment

While Tesla faces challenges like shrinking automotive margins and recent disappointments in events like the Robotaxi unveiling, the company remains resilient. Innovations like the humanoid robot project, Optimus, and the rollout of Full Self-Driving (FSD) Beta software showcase Tesla’s commitment to technological advancement.

Moreover, Tesla’s plans for new affordable EV models and the lucrative Energy Generation and Storage business spark optimism among investors. The company’s liquidity and minimal debt ratios position it favorably for seizing emerging opportunities in the market.

Strategic Insights for Investors

As the Q3 earnings approach, meticulous attention will be on Tesla’s revenue growth, profit margins, and cash flow performance to assess its financial viability. Despite a recent stock dip post the Robotaxi event, some long-term investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest, see potential in Tesla’s growth story.