Bullish Surge: Spotify’s Spectacular Growth Story Bullish Surge: Spotify’s Spectacular Growth Story

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By Ronald Tech

Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) has rewritten the melody of the music industry, emerging as the reigning monarch of the streaming realm amidst the harmonious cacophony of Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet. Boasting a crescendo of 615 million monthly active users in the last quarter, marking a harmonious 19% year-over-year escalation, Spotify’s symphony continues to enthrall listeners.

Spotify’s Bullish Basics

Since its inception in 2008, Spotify pioneered the paid streaming music landscape, orchestrating a symphonic revolution akin to Netflix’s paradigm-altering impact on television and film. Emerging as an orchestral virtuoso despite the cacophony of rivals, Spotify orchestrated a crescendo in revenue, almost doubling between 2019 and 2023.

Spotify’s aria of success reached a crescendo in the first quarter of 2024, with 615 million monthly active users across 184 markets. Premium Subscribers soared by 14% to 239 million, conducting an 84% increase from Q1 FY20 to Q1 FY24, resonating with robust growth. The crescendo was further accentuated by a harmonious price hike in 2024, allowing Spotify to reach euphonic efficiency levels.

Growth Outlook

Last quarter saw Spotify hitting a high note, crescendoing revenue by 21% and orchestrating a resounding tune from an adjusted loss to a profitable symphony at +$1.05 per share, exceeding expectations. With adjusted earnings sky-rocketing by 723% for FY24 and 215% for FY25, Spotify’s composition is promising, earning the prestigious Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

According to Zacks estimates, Spotify is poised to crescendo its sales by 18% in 2024, further harmonizing with a 15% rise in the following year, crescendoing revenue from approximately $14 billion in FY23 to almost $20 billion by FY25, underscoring a melodious doubling of revenue within five years.

Performance, Technical Levels, and Valuation

Spotify’s stock jubilantly leaped around 100% since its 2018 IPO, although trailing behind the Zacks Tech sector’s impressive 190% surge. The grandiose crescendo saw Spotify shares soaring about 300% from their 2022 lows, harmonizing with a 55% year-to-date surge, outshining tech behemoths Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet in the process.

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When billionaires make investment decisions, the world takes notice. It's more than money; it's a statement. They choose to lead, not follow, armed with knowledge few possess. Keeping an eye on their investments is a crafty move for everyday investors.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) are among Wall Street's beloved stocks, hitting record highs recently. These tech giants boast rich histories and a penchant for innovation, attracting the attention of financial elite. Here's a closer look at why these stocks are adored by the affluent and how retail investors can emulate their strategies.

The Rise of Alphabet

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) stands as a tech behemoth, tracing its origins back to 1998 in Mountain View, California. Known as Google's parent company, Alphabet shines with a market cap of $2.3 trillion, driven by iconic products like Google Search, YouTube, and Android. With a focus on artificial intelligence (AI) since 2016, Alphabet leads the way in AI innovations with Google AI and DeepMind, shaping the digital landscape we inhabit today.

Recently, Alphabet hit a new high of $191.75, marking a series of peak performances. Over the past 52 weeks, GOOGL stock surged by 48.7%, eclipsing the S&P 500 Index's 25% returns during the same period.

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Moreover, Alphabet declared its first quarterly dividend of $0.20 per share. This move, coupled with a forward yield of 0.42% at current levels, hints at Alphabet's investor-friendly stance.

Trading at 24.39 times forward earnings, GOOGL stock sits below its five-year average of 25.69x. The company's recent Q1 earnings exceeded expectations, with revenue climbing by 15.4% annually to $80.5 billion and EPS rising by 61.5% year over year to $1.89.

Analysts anticipate the unveiling of Alphabet's Q2 earnings after the market closes on Tuesday, July 23, with an expected surge of 27.8% in EPS year over year. Looking into the future, fiscal 2024 EPS is projected to rise by 31.2% annually to $7.61, followed by a 13.1% increase to $8.61 in fiscal 2025.

Billionaires Bullish on Alphabet

In the realm of high-stakes investments, billionaire Daniel Sundheim, heralded as the "LeBron James of investing," increased his stake in Alphabet by over 20% in fiscal Q1. His hedge fund, D1 Capital Partners, upped its holdings to 2.37 million shares, solidifying GOOGL as the fifth-largest position in D1's portfolio at 5.5%.

Meanwhile, the legendary investor George Soros, known for his unique investment approach rooted in chaos theory and reflexivity, bolstered his Alphabet holdings by acquiring 271,549 shares in Q1. This move raised his total shares to 1.5 million, accentuating Alphabet's weight in his portfolio at 3.7%.

Pershing Square’s Bill Ackman also placed his bet on GOOGL, owning 9.4 million Class C shares and 4.4 million Class A shares. Alphabet's dominance in internet search, expansion into high-growth sectors like Google Cloud, robust revenue growth, and strategic dividends make it a darling among top hedge fund managers.

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With an overall "Strong Buy" rating, GOOGL has analysts' favor, with 34 recommending "Strong Buy," three suggesting "Moderate Buy," and seven opting for "Hold." The average price target for Alphabet is $198.34, indicating a potential 6.3% upside, while the Street-high target of $225 implies a 20.6% potential gain.

The Ascendancy of Amazon

At Washington-based Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), boasting a $2 trillion market cap, the story is one of e-commerce and tech dominance. Founded in 1994, Amazon's reach extends to entertainment with Prime Video, Amazon Music, Prime Gaming, and Twitch, showcasing its multifaceted prowess. Additionally, Amazon Web Services (AWS) holds sway in enterprise cloud software and AI, underpinning Amazon's clout across various sectors.

Amazon's stock is on a relentless upswing, climbing by 43% over the past 52 weeks, with a 26.8% rise year to date, outperforming the broader market. Notably, Amazon hit a new all-time high last week at $201.20.

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Priced at 41.35 times forward earnings, Amazon's stock trades at a discount to its five-year average of 182.49x.

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Despite a recent discordant note in the market, with Spotify trading below its 21-day and 50-day moving averages, exhibiting some of its most oversold RSI levels in recent history, Spotify’s symphony continues to echo with promise, resonating with the allure of a melodious growth story.




Exploring Investment Potential in Spotify Technology (SPOT)

Unveiling Investment Prospects in Spotify Technology (SPOT)

Charting the Financial Landscape

Spotify Technology has emerged as an intriguing investment avenue, capturing investors’ attention with its recent performance. Over the last five years, any retracement to SPOT’s 200-day moving average, currently at $240, could present an enticing buying opportunity.

The company is presently trading at 48.1 times its forward 12-month earnings, positioning itself as a reasonably valued asset. Although by no means inexpensive, it is vital to note that Spotify has seen price-to-earnings ratios as high as 175 over the last year. Furthermore, SPOT’s PEG ratio stands at 0.6, embodying a 67% discount in comparison to the Tech sector.

Insights into Investment Potential

Despite its recent downturn, Spotify Technology is gearing up to potentially break out in the upcoming weeks, particularly if it can deliver robust guidance to Wall Street on Tuesday, July 23. This strategic move could position SPOT stock favorably in the eyes of investors.