Analysis of Current Performance of Top Dividend Stocks Apple, Coca-Cola, and Chevron Insight into the Performance Dynamics of Warren Buffett’s Key Holdings

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By Ronald Tech

Warren Buffett-led Berkshire Hathaway’s dominance with top public equity stakes in Apple, Coca-Cola, and Chevron has been put to the test. Among these stocks, Apple has been struggling, increasingly resembling a fading star like Tesla, albeit as the second poorest performer within the ‘Magnificent Seven’ group. The underperformance trend extends to other Buffett favorites, such as Chevron and Coca-Cola, forming a colossal 54.8% slice of Berkshire’s public equity portfolio. But why are these dividend stocks lagging behind the S&P 500, and what strategies can they employ to reverse this downward trajectory?

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Apple’s Descent into Value Stock Territory

Apple’s recent decline by 10% in 2024 has positioned it as a prospect of interest to value investors. Despite concerns surrounding dwindling smartphone sales growth, particularly in markets like China, the long-term investment thesis for Apple revolves around its burgeoning services segment, characterized by higher-margin growth than its products. An 82% increase in services sales has bolstered Apple’s revenue share from services to 19.3%, embarking on a path to margin escalation. With an installed base of 2.2 billion devices and a robust double-digit growth rate in paid subscriptions, Apple looks primed for sustained sales expansion and margin enrichment.

While Apple’s dividend yield may be modest at 0.6%, the consistent annual increment since 2013 underscores its commitment to shareholders. Trading at 24.7 times its projected 2024 free cash flow, Apple teeters on the edge of value territory, eagerly awaiting value investors to capitalize on its potential amid market apprehensions.

Chevron: A Bargain Opportunity Amidst the Market Turbulence

Amid a tumultuous year that saw Chevron’s stock plummet by 2% as opposed to the S&P 500’s staggering 34% surge, the company now presents a striking proposition for discerning investors. Valued at a discounted 7.5 times operating cash flow, Chevron has dipped below its five-year average cash flow valuation of 8.4, rendering it an appealing prospect. Additionally, with a measly forward dividend yield of 4.2%, investors stand to profit while patiently anticipating the stock’s recovery.

Chevron’s prudent dividend payout ratio averaging 49.8% over the past three years, coupled with strategic asset development initiatives in the Gulf of Mexico and the Permian Basin, instills confidence in its growth trajectory. Despite fluctuations in oil prices, recent upticks may serve as a catalyst for Chevron, enhancing its attractiveness as a steady income-generating asset, aligning with the investment ethos of renowned investors like Warren Buffett.

Coca-Cola: A Steady Haven for Risk-Conscious Investors

Coca-Cola, a staple in value portfolios during market downturns, emerges as a reliable choice for investors wary of risk. During periods of growth-led bull markets, Coca-Cola typically underperforms, only to shine when bearish tones prevail.

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The Tale of Coca-Cola Stock: Navigating Market Swells and Currents

Company/Index

2024 (YTD as of March 15)

2023

2022

2021

2020

Coca-Cola

1.6%

(7.4%)

7.4%

8%

(0.9%)

S&P 500

7.3%

24.2%

(19.4%)

26.9%

16.3%

Data source: YCharts.

While these numbers don’t account for dividends, they paint a picture of how Coca-Cola has fared against the S&P 500 since 2020.

Indeed, Coca-Cola has generally lagged behind the broader market, which has been on a tear during this time frame.

But in 2022, when growth stocks tumbled and the market endured rough times, Coca-Cola emerged as a surprise outperformer, surpassing the index by a significant margin of 26 percentage points.

Investing in Coca-Cola isn’t about chasing market-beating returns but rather about enjoying a steady income stream from a dependable company. With limited means to expand organically, Coca-Cola’s success lies in strategic mergers, acquisitions, and a strong operational focus.

Recent successes in navigating supply chain hurdles and mitigating inflationary pressures demonstrate Coca-Cola’s resilience. A robust operating margin exceeding 28.3% underscores the company’s operational efficiency, even outshining tech giant Apple in this metric.

Berkshire Hathaway’s steadfast confidence in Coca-Cola over three decades stems from the company’s commitment to consistently growing dividends and executing share buybacks, providing attractive returns for shareholders without necessitating stock sales.

With a respectable yield of 3.2% and a reasonable price-to-earnings ratio of 24.2, Coca-Cola presents an enticing proposition, offering a yield double that of the S&P 500.

Coca-Cola fits snugly in the portfolios of investors prioritizing capital preservation, seeking income in retirement, or preferring a more conservative investment approach. While it may continue trailing in a growth-oriented market, Coca-Cola is primed to shine if market dynamics evolve.

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