Bull of the Day: Alibaba (BABA)

Photo of author

By Ronald Tech

Liberation Day gave way to Armageddon as markets sold off considerably Thursday. Large retaliatory tariffs against nearly every US trading partner caused the dramatic dump. At the center of this fight has always been China. During the 2nd Trump Administration, it feels like Canada and Mexico are the principle targets. Surprisingly, one Chinese company has really outperformed to start this year. With the selling, it has retraced to strong technical support at the 50-day and is looking to go higher.

That stock is today’s Bull of the Day, Alibaba (BABA). Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People’s Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through seven segments: China Commerce, International Commerce, Local Consumer Services, Cainiao, Cloud, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. 

The reason for the favorable Zacks Rank is that two analysts have increased their earnings estimates for the current year and next year. The bullish moves have pushed up our Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year from $8.72 to $8.80 while next year’s number is up from $10.24 to $10.83.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

That puts current year earnings growth at just 2.09%, but that number does swell to 23% next year. That’s on revenue growth of 5.97% this year and 6.55% next year. The recent resurgence of Alibaba stock can be attributed to these bumps in earnings estimates. A quick look at the Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Chart shows the big move in earnings. These started mid-2024. A couple of back-to-back earnings beats helped the stock regain its grip on $100. The most recent pullback has the stock down from $148 to the 50-day moving average near $129.

See also  The Rise of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company in the AI Chipmaker World Seizing the Chipmaker Crown

As Nvidia dances on the ceiling of the trillion-dollar club, another contender emerges in the AI chipmaking realm. While Broadcom has made strides in networking and AI accelerator chips, it's not the dark horse for the trillion-dollar congregation. Eyes turn to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), waiting in the wings to ascend the throne.

Image source: Getty Images.

A Mighty Player in the Shadows

TSMC reigns supreme as the largest chip fabricator globally, commanding a lion's share of foundry spending. Armed with cutting-edge chip manufacturing prowess, boasting unmatched power efficiency and computational might, TSMC etches its mark in the AI landscape and beyond.

The company's colossal scale fosters a formidable advantage over competitors. Its robust revenue streams fuel relentless investments in research and development, ensuring TSMC stands at the vanguard of chip manufacturing innovation.

Driving Growth on the Semiconductor Highway

Painting a rosy future, TSMC anticipates a fruitful trajectory in the upcoming years. With third-quarter revenue forecasts standing tall at $22.4 billion to $23.2 billion, the company flaunts remarkable year-on-year growth figures. Additionally, a projected increase in gross margin signals pricing resilience amid escalating customer demands.

Amidst the backdrop of tech giants doubling down on AI infrastructure, such as Meta Platforms and Alphabet, TSMC stands poised to ride the crest of this technological wave. With an eye on pronounced capex expansions by industry behemoths, TSMC anticipates a windfall of demand for its chipsets.

Image source: Getty Images.

An air of anticipation looms over the tech sphere as the impending Apple iPhone release promises a host of new AI features. The allure of cutting-edge technology is expected to drive a surge in iPhone upgrades, propelling a ripple effect of chip demand, with TSMC positioned at the helm of this impending surge.

The Valuation Conundrum

Despite TSMC's colossal $875 billion market capitalization, its shares appear undervalued at current prices. Trading at a modest forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26.5, coupled with robust revenue growth and margin expansion, the company is forecasted to sustain earnings growth exceeding 20% annually. Analysts project a steady trajectory of 21.5% earnings growth per annum over the ensuing five years, painting a promising picture for investors.

Avoiding the Bandwagon: An Analysis of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

 

7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days

Just released: Experts distill 7 elite stocks from the current list of 220 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buys. They deem these tickers “Most Likely for Early Price Pops.”

Since 1988, the full list has beaten the market more than 2X over with an average gain of +23.9% per year. So be sure to give these hand picked 7 your immediate attention. 

See them now >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) : Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

Zacks Investment Research