Is the Agg Enough for Your Fixed Income Portfolio?

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By Ronald Tech

Get more with Vanguard Core Bond ETFs

Some investors believe that the Bloomberg US Aggregate Index, or the Agg, is the definitive proxy for the U.S. bond market, just as the S&P (Standard & Poor) 500 serves as a proxy for U.S. stocks.

However, unlike the stock indexes, the Agg (and its sister index, the float-adjusted version) only offers partial exposure to the U.S. bond market. And remember that the U.S. bond market makes up less than 40% of the global fixed income market, which means that clients who track the Agg in their fixed income allocations miss out on a wider playing field that could enhance diversification and improve potential returns.

A simple solution: active products that can invest beyond the Agg, like the Core-Plus Bond ETF (VPLS).

Vanguard Core Bond ETF (VCRB) can invest beyond the Agg, but with a more conservative mandate than Core-Plus products. Both VPLS and VCRB launched late in 2023.

Sources: Center for Research in Securities Prices, Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, and Bloomberg, as of March 31, 2024.

What’s in and out of the Agg?

Source: Bloomberg and Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association data, as of March 31, 2024, except for mortgage- and asset-backed securities, for which the latest data is as of December 31, 2021.

Contrasting passive and active

More narrowly focused index-based ETFs can target areas such as mortgage-backed securities, inflation-protected securities, or corporates. Additionally, international bond ETFs can access the investment-grade non-U.S. sovereign, corporate, and emerging markets.

However, investors who choose this approach must decide which ETFs are appropriate and how much to invest to achieve sufficient exposure to a global fixed income market, which totaled $14.7 trillion at the end of 2023. If investors are using ETFs that focus on select asset classes, they must consider the optimal time for rebalancing, as well as whether to overweight or underweight those positions.

Are you a head coach? A football analogy may explain how active ETFs can simplify this process. During a game, defensive coordinators decide how many linemen, linebackers, and defensive backs to use on each play, depending on the score, the down, distance to a first down or a score, and time remaining on the clock. They then typically call for alignments of the players and plays for them to run.

Professional fixed income managers perform a similar role. They must decide daily how to allocate the portfolio between U.S. Treasuries, investment-grade corporates, high-yield, emerging markets bonds, and other options based on factors like credit spreads, interest rates, and economic news. They select individual securities, or asset allocation positions, just as coaches pick specific players for a given play.

The key question to consider is: Are you the best possible fixed income coordinator for your own team? Or are you the head coach of your portfolio, and you find it’s best to hire professionals to act as the fixed income coordinator?

Vanguard active bond offerings

VPLS provides active exposure to U.S. government debt and investment-grade corporates and flexibility to invest larger portions in high-yield corporates, emerging markets, and foreign sovereign bonds, as well as asset-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities.

This core-plus product has an annual alpha target of 75 basis points against its benchmark, the Bloomberg U.S. Universal Index (known as the “Universal”).

  • VPLS has a 0.20% expense ratio.

Meanwhile, VCRB has a higher-quality bias, as it focuses primarily on investment-grade corporate bonds, Treasuries, and agency mortgage-backed securities. It has an annual alpha target of 60 basis points against its benchmark, the Bloomberg US Aggregate Float Adjusted Index.

  • VCRB has a 0.10% expense ratio.

A universe of additional opportunity: Vanguard considers the Bloomberg US Universal Index a better benchmark than the Agg for a core-plus strategy because of its more comprehensive exposure to the U.S. bond market. In addition to holding the categories in the Agg, the Universal also includes U.S. high-yield corporates, greater exposure to structured products and (dollar-denominated) emerging markets, and other less mainstream bond sectors.

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These sectors have more credit risk, but often less interest rate risk. They also tend to offer high yields and greater opportunity for selection and allocation decisions for active managers.

  • Both VCRB and VPLS are designed to serve as the centerpiece, or even the only piece, of an investor’s fixed income allocation.

A tale of two benchmarks