Rivian Automotive: Navigating the Options Landscape Rivian Automotive: Navigating the Options Landscape

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By Ronald Tech

Amid the immediate fireworks, it’s hard to resist contemplating a bullish position in electric vehicle firm Rivian Automotive (RIVN). While the market faced headwinds, a game-changing deal with Volkswagen (VWAGY) seems to have altered the course for RIVN stock.

According to Reuters, the $5 billion deal with Volkswagen has propelled Rivian into a technology joint venture, giving Volkswagen a head start in its EV ambitions while offering a crucial lifeline to Rivian, which has seen a significant decline in equity value since its IPO.

Rivian’s upcoming R2 and R3 models, targeting the modest-income segment, show promise in diversifying its offerings. The R2 starting at $45,000 and the R3 expected to debut in 2027 present opportunities for the company to resonate with a broader market base.

A Glimpse into Options Activity for RIVN Stock

Enthusiasm for RIVN stock extends to the derivatives market. Recent data from Barchart’s options volume screener indicates heightened interest in Rivian, with total contracts reaching 421,496 against an open interest of 2.73 million. Notably, call volume surpasses put volume, reflecting a bullish sentiment.

Further analysis of big block transactions through Barchart’s options flow screener unveils a net trade sentiment favoring the bulls. While some bearish bets exist, the overall sentiment leans towards optimism, with notable trades indicating confidence in the stock’s potential.


Despite recent price fluctuations, including a dip following Rivian’s partnership with Volkswagen, options activity suggests a prevailing bullish outlook on RIVN stock.

Focusing on Infrastructure in the EV Sector

While Rivian’s deal with Volkswagen has drawn attention, a deeper analysis reveals potential benefits for EV infrastructure players rather than individual brands. By catering to the middle-income demographic, Rivian may face challenges related to public charging infrastructure.

See also  The Rise of Palantir: A Potential Trillion-Dollar Player in the AI MarketThe Dominance of AI Titans

The ascent of artificial intelligence (AI) as a driving force in the market is undeniable, with major players like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta Platforms leading the way. These tech giants, with market cap values in the trillion-dollar range, showcase the immense potential embedded in AI technology.

While the likes of Apple and Microsoft command market caps exceeding $3 trillion, the volatile but formidable Nvidia holds strong at $2.6 trillion. Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta Platforms follow closely behind, boasting market caps of $1.9 trillion, $1.7 trillion, and $1.2 trillion, respectively. The common thread binding these coveted market leaders is the boundless frontier presented by AI.

A Silent Force Emerges

With a current market cap of $60 billion, Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR) may appear modest compared to its behemoth counterparts. However, beneath the surface, Palantir is strategically positioning itself to potentially join the esteemed trillion-dollar club. While many companies are still in the nascent stages of crafting an AI strategy, Palantir has silently honed its skills over two decades, primarily focusing on AI solutions for the U.S. government and global allies.

Transitioning its expertise to cater to enterprise-level entities, Palantir introduced the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) powered by generative AI, carving a niche for itself in the market. Embracing a hands-on approach, the company conducts boot camps where users collaboratively develop and implement AI solutions alongside Palantir engineers, yielding swift and palpable results.

Palantir recently disclosed a milestone achievement, with over 1,025 organizations undergoing boot camps, resulting in significant deals worth over a billion dollars. Notably, the company reported a 27% year-over-year revenue surge in the second quarter, driven by robust U.S. commercial revenue growth catalyzed by AIP.

The Road to Trillion-Dollar Status

Leveraging its rich AI legacy, Palantir enjoys a competitive edge in serving government and enterprise clients seeking cutting-edge AI solutions. The realm of generative AI has captivated global governments, unveiling a promising arena for sovereign AI development.

Wall Street projections envision Palantir generating $2.7 billion in 2024, translating to a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 22. Sustaining this growth trajectory, Palantir would need to scale its revenues to around $45 billion annually to justify a $1 trillion market cap. With a 27% year-over-year revenue increase in the latest quarter, Palantir could conceivably breach the trillion-dollar threshold by 2036 at the current pace.

However, the rapid adoption of generative AI signals an accelerated trajectory for Palantir. Noteworthy is the U.S. commercial revenue's impressive 40% and 55% year-over-year growth in the first and second quarters, respectively. As customer count within this segment surged by 69% and 83% in these respective periods, Palantir's ascent to the trillion-dollar echelon could materialize much sooner.

Estimates hint at the vast expanse of the generative AI market, projected to burgeon between $2.6 trillion and $4.4 trillion annually, as per McKinsey & Company. Palantir's sustained growth and industry primacy set the stage for a rapid ascent, potentially propelling the stock to a trillion-dollar valuation in the foreseeable future.

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Prioritizing affordability can lead to a flood of low-priced EVs entering the market, placing importance on developing robust charging solutions. Rivian’s shift towards a broader consumer base could prompt a reevaluation of its revenue streams and strategic focus amidst a changing EV landscape.