Decoding Palantir: An Ingenious Plan Poised to Bring Rich Rewards

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By Ronald Tech

Have you ever sat through a tech demo and left scratching your head, wondering how it all applies to real-world business scenarios? I admit, I have been there. Intricate demonstrations of artificial intelligence (AI) software can often leave us in a fog of confusion. However, Palantir Technologies (NYSE: PLTR) has unveiled a solution that shines brightly amid the haze.

Unveiling Palantir’s AIP

Palantir’s latest brainchild is its Artificial Intelligence Platform, also known as AIP. Picture this: AIP seamlessly integrates into a company’s existing systems, consolidating scattered data silos into a unified hub. Subsequently, AIP crafts a comprehensive model of the organization’s operations. This innovative software enables clients to utilize sophisticated large language models to scrutinize processes, explore potential actions, and ultimately, make more informed decisions. Notably, AIP caters to both government entities (defense sector) and private enterprises.

Palantir elucidates with two compelling scenarios. First, visualize an army unit stationed near hostile territory noticing enemy weapon build-up. Leveraging AIP, the commanding officer can simulate various scenarios, anticipate enemy formations, and evaluate available assets to counter an impending attack. Secondly, envisage a private company owning a warehouse in the hurricane’s path. By using AIP, the logistics team can simulate the repercussions of a warehouse closure and identify the most cost-effective alternative sites to fulfill customer orders.

Palantir’s approach to introducing this sophisticated software to the market involves conducting “boot camps.” Unlike traditional demo videos, these intensive five-day workshops empower potential clients to experience hands-on problem-solving tailored to their specific business needs. This personalized approach has proven to be a more effective method of product introduction. Since mid-2023, Palantir has conducted boot camps with 915 organizations, leading to the closure of 136 deals in the first quarter of 2024. Notably, the number of U.S. commercial customers surged by 69% compared to the previous year in the same quarter.

Decoding Palantir’s Stock Potential

Palantir’s Q1 earnings report and long-term growth trajectories present a compelling investment thesis. Sales surged by 21% year over year to $634 million, marking a slight acceleration from the 20% growth recorded in Q4 2023. However, the most riveting aspect lies in the rapid expansion of customer counts, underscoring the company’s ability to secure and retain clients, as illustrated in the chart below.

Palantir customer count growth

Image source: Palantir.

Expanding the customer base assumes paramount importance for Palantir due to its recurring revenue model, where clients pay for the software on an annual basis. Once onboarded, Palantir stands to benefit from continuous revenue streams over the years.

Previously criticized for its lack of profitability post its 2020 IPO, Palantir has turned the tide. The company reported its sixth consecutive quarter of positive generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) net income and its fifth consecutive quarter of GAAP operating income. Moreover, Palantir now boasts robust free cash flow (FCF) generation. A steady uptrend in operating income and FCF is discernible, as depicted in the chart below.

PLTR Operating Income (Quarterly) Chart

PLTR Operating Income (Quarterly) data by YCharts

Palantir leveraged its profits and strong cash flow to fortify its balance sheet, boasting $4.4 billion in current assets against $751 million in current liabilities. Notably, the company holds no long-term debt, smartly managing its cash to yield $43 million in interest income in Q1, a 7% bonus atop its $634 million operating revenue.

The primary risk looming over Palantir shareholders is its valuation. Currently trading at 20 times sales, the stock may not be a bargain. Although this valuation is lower than comparable growing software-as-a-service (SaaS) firms like CrowdStrike at 25 and Datadog at 19, it still commands a premium. Given the exuberance surrounding AI companies, investors should brace for potential pullbacks. In this light, adopting a risk-mitigation strategy such as dollar-cost averaging could provide a prudent approach to buying shares at regular intervals.

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With a distinctive sales strategy, positive customer growth trends, and robust financial performance, Palantir appears primed to emerge as a long-term standout in the software and AI realm.

Is Investing $1,000 in Palantir Technologies the Right Move?

Before diving into Palantir Technologies stock, here’s some sage advice:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team recently pinpointed what they believe to be the


Palantir Technologies Misses the Cut Among Top Stocks

The Omission of Palantir Technologies in the Elite 10 Stocks

When it comes to picking winners in the stock market, the exclusion of Palantir Technologies from the elite 10 best stocks for investors to buy now is a signal worth noting. While 10 stocks have been singled out for their potential to yield significant returns in the near future, Palantir Technologies did not secure a spot among them.

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As investors contemplate their next move in the dynamic landscape of the stock market, the exclusion of Palantir Technologies in the list of top stocks serves as a compelling narrative. While some stocks bask in the limelight of potential meteoric growth, others may have to forge their own path towards success, demonstrating resilience and adaptability in a market characterized by unpredictability.

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